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(LEAD) Polls show mixed results for rival presidential candidates

All News 22:07 January 17, 2022

(ATTN: RECASTS headline, lead; UPDATES with other poll results in paras 1-3, last 6 paras)

SEOUL, Jan. 17 (Yonhap) -- Three opinion polls released Monday showed mixed results for rival presidential candidates Lee Jae-myung and Yoon Suk-yeol.

In a survey conducted by Realmeter, Yoon of the main opposition People Power Party (PPP) overtook Lee of the ruling Democratic Party (DP) as frontrunner with 40.6 percent vs. 36.7 percent.

Two other polls, released by Next Research and Embrain Public, showed Lee maintaining his lead over Yoon.

In the Realmeter poll conducted on 3,031 adults from Jan. 9 to 14, Yoon gained 6.5 percentage points from the previous week, while Lee lost 3.4 points.

Their gap of 3.9 percentage points was outside the margin of error of plus or minus 1.8 percentage points at a 95 percent confidence level.

In the previous survey, Lee was ahead of Yoon by a margin greater than the margin of error.

This compilation image shows (from L to R) presidential candidates Lee Jae-myung, Yoon Suk-yeol, Sim Sang-jeung and Ahn Cheol-soo. (Pool photo) (Yonhap)

Realmeter said the reversal was likely due to a series of developments favorable to Yoon, including the resolution of a feud inside the PPP campaign committee and the abrupt death of an activist who raised corruption allegations against Lee.

Ahn Cheol-soo, the presidential candidate of the minor opposition People's Party, added 1.8 percentage points to post 12.9 percent, continuing his upward streak.

Sim Sang-jeung of the minor progressive Justice Party earned 2 percent.

In the hypothetical scenario of Yoon and Ahn merging candidacies and Yoon emerging as the unified candidate, Yoon had 45.2 percent support, followed by Lee at 37 percent and Sim at 3.8 percent.

With Ahn as the unified candidate, Ahn had 42.2 percent support, followed by Lee at 34.3 percent and Sim at 3.2 percent.

Asked to pick the candidate most likely to win, 46.2 percent chose Lee, while 41.9 percent picked Yoon and 5.7 percent Ahn.

Lee's rating was down 6.6 percentage points, while Yoon's was up 7 points.

Later in the day, Next Research and Embrain Public released their results showing Lee still ahead of Yoon.

In the Next Research poll conducted on 1,004 adults from Jan. 15-16, Lee garnered 32.9 percent, followed by Yoon with 31.6 percent, Ahn with 12.7 percent and Sim with 2.7 percent.

The difference between Lee and Yoon was within the margin of error of plus or minus 3.1 percentage points.

Compared to the previous survey on Dec. 30-31, support for Yoon rose 5.6 percentage points while Lee fell 2 percentage points.

In the Embrain Public poll conducted on 1,344 adults from Jan. 11-13, Lee topped with 31.7 percent, followed by Yoon with 21.6 percent, Ahn's 11.5 percent and Sim's 3.2 percent.

The survey has a margin of error of plus or minus 2.7 percentage points.


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