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(2nd LD) BOK chief says he doesn't rule out 50-basis-point rate hike

Economy 11:30 May 16, 2022

(ATTN: UPDATES with more details throughout; ADDS photo)
By Kim Soo-yeon

SEOUL, May 16 (Yonhap) -- South Korea's central bank chief said Monday he does not rule out the possibility of a 50-basis-point rate hike, as uncertainty about already-elevated inflation remains high amid surging energy prices and the won's weakness.

In April, the Bank of Korea (BOK) raised the policy rate by a quarter-percentage point to 1.5 percent, the fourth rate hike since August last year, in a bid to tame inflation and curb household debt.

Analysts forecast the BOK to further hike the borrowing costs by another 0.25 percentage point at the May 26 policy meeting.

"It is not the stage where we can completely rule out the possibility of a big step hike," BOK Gov. Rhee Chang-yong told reporters after his first official meeting on economic situations with Finance Minister Choo Kyung-ho.

"Whether we could consider (a 0.5-percentage point increase) will rest on how much inflation rises going forward," Rhee said.

He said the BOK will closely monitor data on growth and inflation.

Finance Minister Choo Kyung-ho (L) and Bank of Korea Gov. Rhee Chang-yong shake hands ahead of their policy meeting in Seoul on May 16, 2022. (Pool photo) (Yonhap)

South Korea's consumer prices grew at the fastest pace in more than 13 years in April. Consumer prices spiked 4.8 percent on-year in April, a pickup from a 4.1 percent gain in March.

Inflation has been under upward pressure amid soaring energy prices caused by Russia's war with Ukraine and a rebound in demand from the pandemic.

In May, the Fed raised the policy rate by a half-percentage point to a range of 0.75-1 percent, the biggest hike in 22 years, to curb runaway inflation. It followed its first rate increase since 2018 in March.

Concerns about capital flights have heightened, as the Fed's aggressive rate hikes have narrowed the interest rate gap between South Korea and the U.S.

Economic policymakers face the tricky task of steering the economy, as the risk of stagflation, a mix of slowing economy and high inflation, has increased amid global economic uncertainty.

High inflation is feared to erode people's purchasing power, hampering economic growth. The South Korean economy is expected to slow to the 2 percent range this year due to heightened economic uncertainty, after the 4 percent expansion last year.

The won's sharp weakness against the U.S. dollar has also exerted upward pressure on inflation, as it has boosted import bills.

The won's slide has recently accelerated, as demand for the greenback increased amid the Fed's rate hikes. The Korean currency hit a 13-year low of 1,288.60 per the dollar Thursday, down 13.3 won from the previous session.

At a parliamentary speech on the extra budget, President Yoon Suk-yeol voiced concerns about elevated inflation.

"As high inflation persists, the pace of rate hikes and liquidity reduction has picked up, which has had negative impacts on the financial market. Runaway inflation and high interest rates bring more pain to vulnerable people," he said.

Against this backdrop, the chiefs of the finance ministry and the BOK called for close policy coordination, as it has become more important for the government and the central bank to find an optimal policy mix.

Choo and Rhee said volatility in the financial market has heightened and inflationary pressure has sharply risen amid the growing possibility of the economic slowdown.

The two "stressed that strengthening policy coordination based on communication and raising policy trust will lay the groundwork for stability in macroeconomic conditions and the financial market," the government and the BOK said in a joint statement after the meeting.

Critics said the government's latest proposal of a record extra budget could further stoke inflation, adding the move is not in sync with the BOK's monetary tightening drive.

Last week, the finance ministry proposed an extra budget of 59.4 trillion won (US$46.3 billion) in the latest move to compensate pandemic-hit merchants for their losses caused by stricter virus curbs.

"We cannot say there is no worry about inflation (due to the extra budget). But the move will likely have limited impacts on inflation, as state support will be given through public transfer," Choo said.

Meanwhile, before the meeting, Choo refused to specify whether he will discuss with Rhee over the possible reopening of South Korea's currency swap line with the U.S.

The BOK and the Fed signed the $60 billion currency swap facility in March 2020 to ease the market panic caused by the COVID-19 pandemic. The swap line expired on Dec. 31, 2021, after being extended three times.

Market players raised the possible signing of another currency swap line amid the won's sharp fall, as Yoon and his U.S. counterpart, Joe Biden, will hold their first summit in Seoul this weekend.

This photo, taken May 13, 2022, shows information on gasoline and diesel prices at a filling station in Seoul. (Yonhap)


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