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Voting Rate Becomes Deciding Factor

15:33 April 20, 2017 replay time01:45

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The voting rate in each generation is expected to be the key factor in this presidential election.

Calculations for candidates have also become extremely complex.

Kang Eun-narae has more.


Conventionally, a high voting rate is believed to be advantageous for the opposition, while a low rate is said to be good for the ruling party. In this election, however, the ruling-opposition structure has been dismantled, complicating calculations.

Tentative calculations by the National Election Commission reveal that the largest voter group in this election is those in their 40s, followed by those in their 50s, 30s and then 20s.

In the last elections, the voting rate among those in their 50s was higher than even that among those in their 60s.

This is why the voting rates of those in their 40s and 50s are expected to be the key deciding factor in this election.

This is judged to be an advantage for Ahn Cheol-soo of the People’s Party, who reportedly has a large group of middle-aged supporters.

Hong Jun-pyo of the Liberal Korea Party and Yoo Seung-min of Bareun Party, both of whom are calling for a unification and reconstruction of the conservatives, are also working to get the votes from voters in their 50s and higher.

However, this election seems more complex, as the voting rates of those in their 20s and 30s have become a new variable.

A survey by the Election Commission reveals that the number of “willing voters,” who responded “they will certainly vote,” has increased among 20- and 30-somethings compared with the last election, while it decreased among those in their 60s and higher.

After the candlelight vigils, the young generation’s resolve to vote has strengthened, whereas some senior citizens may even give up on voting, as they have not found a satisfactory candidate.

In this case, Moon Jae-in of the Minjoo Party, reported to have a relatively large number of young supporters, is expected to be in a more advantageous position.

Sim Sang-jung of the Justice Party, promoting freshness, is also exhibiting great expectations.

It looks like the generational voting rates, ever ambiguous so far, will be an important factor in this election.

Kang Eun-narae reporting for Yonhap News TV.

Yonhap News TV: 02-398-4441 (Inquiry on article) 4409 (Report), KakaoTalk/LINE jebo23

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